Daily Market Forecast By Capitalcore

[Capitalcore]

Technical Indicators Suggest Gold Price Correction Incoming

XAU/USD, commonly known as Gold, is among the most traded forex pairs in the financial markets, renowned as a safe-haven asset especially during periods of economic uncertainty. Today, traders are closely watching several key economic indicators from the United States, including Initial Jobless Claims, the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index, the Conference Board Leading Index, EIA Natural Gas Storage, and TIC Net Long-term Transactions. Stronger-than-expected data in these areas could bolster the USD, potentially weighing on gold prices. Conversely, weaker economic indicators could enhance Gold's appeal as a safe haven, pushing XAU/USD higher.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the XAU/USD 4-hour chart, the pair has been trending bullishly, consistently setting higher highs and higher lows. However, a negative regular divergence has emerged in recent candles, signaling a potential reversal which has already begun. With key support identified at the level of 3634.52, the price action could see a pullback to this area. Conversely, bullish momentum recovery might lead prices toward the resistance level at 3699.04. The MACD indicator currently shows a bearish sentiment with the histogram at -2.05, the MACD line at -0.98, and the signal line at 1.08, suggesting weakening bullish momentum. The Stochastic indicator with K% at 35.07 and D% at 44.19 indicates an oversold market condition, possibly foreshadowing a near-term reversal upward. Bollinger Bands have expanded, reflecting increased market volatility, implying potential sharp price movements ahead.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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[Capitalcore]

JAP 225 MACD Divergence Suggests Imminent Price Correction

The Nikkei 225 (JAP 225), often simply called the Nikkei, represents the Japanese stock market and is frequently paired with the Japanese Yen (JPY) in forex trading. Known among traders as "JAP 225," it provides insight into Japan's economic health. Fundamental analysis today highlights significant upcoming Japanese news: the Core Consumer Price Index (CPI), Interest Rate Decision, and Monetary Policy Statement by the Bank of Japan (BOJ). Traders anticipate the Core CPI, excluding fresh food, as an inflation indicator that may influence BOJ monetary policy adjustments. With the BOJ Interest Rate Decision and policy statements closely watched, any hawkish stance or upward adjustment in rates could potentially strengthen the JPY, impacting the JAP 225 pair significantly.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the provided H4 chart for JAP 225, the price currently resides within an ascending channel, recently touching the upper channel boundary, indicating a potential correction. The price's proximity to the Fibonacci 0.382 retracement level further strengthens the likelihood of a corrective move downward. Indicators support this corrective view, as the MACD shows a negative regular divergence, suggesting diminishing bullish momentum. Simultaneously, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates overbought conditions, implying an impending bearish reversal or pullback. Price could potentially retrace to the ascending trend line or previous highs, emphasizing cautious bullishness in the short term.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

 

[Capitalcore]

ETH USD chart price action forecast

Ethereum (ETH), often nicknamed “digital silver” compared to Bitcoin’s “digital gold,” is the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization and a key driver of decentralized finance and smart contracts. Against the US dollar (USD), the ETH/USD forex pair is closely watched by traders for both its blockchain innovation and correlation with dollar liquidity conditions. Fundamentally, today’s spotlight is on the US Dollar as several FOMC voting members including John Williams, Alberto Musalem, Stephen Miran, Thomas Barkin, and Beth Hammack are scheduled to speak at high-profile events hosted by the Federal Reserve, Brookings Institution, and other financial forums. Their tone on interest rate outlook and monetary policy will shape USD demand—hawkish remarks would strengthen the dollar and put downside pressure on ETH-USD, while dovish hints could support a rebound in Ethereum prices.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the ETHUSD H4 chart, the price is trading inside a side-trending convergent disjoint channel, with resistance near 4820 and support around 4050. Price action shows Ethereum moving into the narrowing Ichimoku green cloud, which has flattened at the leading span B level, signaling potential stagnation. ETH USD has also slipped below the Ichimoku conversion and base lines, and notably, 8 out of the last 10 candles are bearish, suggesting selling momentum. The MACD indicator adds confirmation: the MACD line has crossed below the signal line, and the last four histogram bars are red, all pointing to weakening bullish momentum. This convergence pattern within a disjoint channel highlights tightening price action, with a likely breakout coming soon as volatility compresses.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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[Capitalcore]

EURGBP Fundamental and Technical Forecast

The EUR/GBP, also known as "Chunnel," is a popular forex pair representing the Eurozone's euro and Britain's pound sterling, reflecting the economic interplay between two major European economies. Today’s fundamental news includes key data releases from both regions. The upcoming Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) reports from the UK and the Eurozone will significantly influence market sentiment. Strong PMI numbers above 50.0 from either side could indicate economic expansion and provide bullish momentum to their respective currencies. Additionally, Bank of England's Chief Economist Huw Pill's comments at the Pictet Research Institute Symposium could introduce volatility to the pound sterling based on the tone regarding future monetary policy. Moreover, the UK CBI Industrial Order Expectations and Gilt Auction results will provide insights into Britain's economic health, influencing GBP strength and EUR/GBP price action.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Technically, analyzing the EUR/GBP H4 chart, the candles are moving along a bullish trend, showing signs of sideways consolidation around the key resistance level at 0.87342, having repeatedly tested this level but failing to sustain a breakout. Currently, price action hovers within this critical zone. If historical price patterns continue, we can anticipate a price correction towards the previous support zone. Should bearish momentum strengthen, a potential pullback to the Fibonacci retracement level of 0.236 is possible. Indicator-wise, the MACD histogram is slightly bullish at 0.00010, with the MACD line at 0.00157 marginally above the signal line at 0.00147, suggesting mild upward momentum. The RSI (14) indicator, currently at an elevated 76.37, suggests the pair is overbought, potentially foreshadowing a corrective downturn. Bollinger Bands have expanded, indicating increased volatility, yet a contraction of the bands is anticipated soon, signaling reduced volatility ahead.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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[Capitalcore]

EUR/USD Steady as Eurozone Sentiment Improves

The EUR/USD, known as the “Fiber,” is the world’s most traded forex pair, reflecting the balance between the Eurozone and U.S. economies. Today, Eurozone sentiment showed mild improvement, with Germany’s ifo Business Climate at 89.3 vs. 89.0 and Belgium’s NBB Business Climate rising to -8.3 vs. -8.9, offering modest support for the euro. In the U.S., attention turned to President Trump’s UN speech for potential policy cues, while economic data painted a mixed picture: New Home Sales slightly missed forecasts (650K vs. 652K) but stayed strong, and Crude Oil Inventories surprised with a 0.8M build vs. -9.3M draw, easing supply concerns. Together, these factors set a cautious tone, with EUR/USD traders weighing improving European business sentiment against steady U.S. fundamentals.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
From a technical perspective, EUR/USD remains in a steady upward channel, with price currently trading near 1.1815 after bouncing from the lower boundary. The Ichimoku Cloud shows bullish momentum as price holds above the cloud, though resistance around the mid-channel zone could limit gains in the short term. The RSI at 59 signals positive momentum but is not yet in overbought territory, leaving room for further upside. If bulls maintain control, the pair could retest the channel’s upper boundary near 1.1900, while a break back below 1.1760 and the Ichimoku cloud support would shift bias toward consolidation or downside correction.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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[Capitalcore]

Ethereum Forex Analysis and USD Economic Indicators Impact

The ETHUSD pair, commonly known as Ethereum against the US Dollar, is one of the leading cryptocurrency pairs traded globally, often referred to by its nickname "Ether." It is closely monitored by traders and investors due to its volatility and significant market capitalization. Today's upcoming news involves multiple critical speeches from FOMC voting members, including Federal Reserve Bank Presidents and Governors, notably Austan Goolsbee, John Williams, and Michelle Bowman. These discussions are likely to provide insights into future monetary policy and potential shifts in interest rates, directly impacting USD strength. Additionally, economic indicators such as GDP, unemployment claims, durable goods orders, and trade balance reports are set to influence market sentiment, potentially increasing USD volatility and consequently affecting the ETH/USD forex pair.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the ETH/USD H4 chart, the candles are currently exhibiting a repeated pattern of initiating a bullish trend followed by a sideways market, as observed between the 0.236 and 0.5 Fibonacci extension levels along the Bollinger Bands channel. The recent candlestick momentum indicates the possibility of a bearish correction toward the support at the 3871.29 price level, a previously significant reaction point. However, the presence of hidden divergence in the price action suggests a long-term continuation of the bullish trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering around the oversold area at 30.96, implying potential bullish reversal opportunities in the short term, while the Williams %R indicator at -46.02 indicates moderate selling pressure, confirming the ongoing corrective sentiment.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

 

[Capitalcore]

USDCAD chart shows bullish continuation

The USD/CAD currency pair, also known as the “Loonie,” is one of the most traded forex pairs, reflecting the strength of the US Dollar against the Canadian Dollar. Traders closely monitor this pair due to its sensitivity to economic releases from both the US and Canada, particularly those tied to inflation, GDP, and central bank outlooks. From a fundamental perspective, today’s upcoming US data such as the PCE price index, personal income, and consumer spending reports will be in focus as they serve as key inflation and growth indicators for the Federal Reserve’s policy stance. A stronger-than-expected PCE reading would likely bolster the USD as it strengthens expectations for higher interest rates, while weak income or spending data could weigh on sentiment. In addition, speeches from Fed officials including Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin and Governor Michelle Bowman may provide further insight into monetary policy direction. On the Canadian side, GDP data remains a critical driver, with stronger growth supporting CAD demand. Overall, fundamentals today tilt toward higher volatility in USD-CAD, with bias leaning bullish if US data signals resilient inflation and spending trends.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the USD/CAD H4 chart, the price has recently shown sharp bullish candles, moving in a clear ascending trend above the Ichimoku green cloud. The cloud itself is sloping upward, with both its boundaries also pointing higher, confirming strong bullish momentum. Price has decisively broken above resistance and is consolidating above the 1.3900 zone, turning it into short-term support. Two support zones are visible in the chart: the first in the 1.3860–1.3880 range and the second broader support area around 1.3720–1.3740. As long as USD CAD holds above the Ichimoku cloud and maintains higher highs, the bullish trend remains intact, with further upside potential toward 1.3960 and possibly the psychological 1.4000 level.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

 

[Capitalcore]

Ripple USD chart bearish trend forecast

XRP, also known as Ripple, is one of the most widely traded cryptocurrencies in the forex and crypto market, paired frequently against the US Dollar (USD). Often called the “banker’s coin” because of its use in cross-border payments, XRP/USD is a popular pair for traders looking at both fundamental drivers and price action signals. From a fundamental perspective, today’s USD-related events carry high importance. Several Federal Reserve officials, including Governor Christopher Waller, Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack, St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem, and New York Fed President John Williams, are scheduled to speak at global financial conferences. Given their FOMC voting status, any hawkish tone could strengthen the USD, pressuring XRP/USD lower. Additionally, the pending home sales data from the National Association of Realtors will be released, serving as a forward-looking indicator of economic health. Stronger-than-expected figures would further boost the USD. Consequently, Ripple’s price action against the dollar could remain under pressure in the short term if policymakers highlight restrictive monetary policy or if US housing data exceeds forecasts.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the technical side of the XRPUSD H4 chart, the price is moving in a long-term bearish trend. After testing the strong support zone near 2.73 – 2.70, XRP/USD has so far failed to break below, creating a flat bottom formation. Following this support test, the pair has corrected higher with three consecutive large bullish green candles, reflecting a temporary recovery. However, the short-term trend angle tool highlights a -47° bearish slope, confirming the dominant downside momentum. The price also remains below the Ichimoku red cloud, where the top line of the cloud is flat, and the cloud itself has expanded with a downward-moving leading span A, signaling continued bearish sentiment. At the same time, the MACD indicator shows weak bullish momentum: the histogram is slightly positive, but the signal lines remain close to zero, suggesting limited strength in the rebound. Overall, while the price is holding above support, bearish pressure persists, and traders should watch whether XRP-USD can maintain above 2.73 or resume its broader downtrend.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

 

[Capitalcore]

USD/CHF Outlook Ahead of Key Fundamental Data

The USD/CHF pair, often called the “Swissie,” represents the US dollar versus the Swiss franc and is widely traded for its safe-haven dynamics and sensitivity to monetary policy divergence. Today’s calendar is packed with influential US releases, including the ADP employment report, ISM manufacturing surveys, construction spending, and crude oil inventories from both the API and EIA. Key Fed voices are also in focus, with Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan and Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin scheduled to speak, events that could provide subtle cues on the central bank’s policy stance. For Switzerland, attention is on upcoming retail sales data from the Federal Statistical Office and the quarterly Swiss National Bank update, both critical in shaping expectations for domestic demand and monetary policy. Market participants should closely monitor hawkish tones from Fed officials alongside any surprise in Swiss data, as these will likely guide USD/CHF’s near-term momentum.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
A review of the USD/CHF 4‑hour chart shows price moving inside a well‑drawn bullish channel, where repeated tests of both the channel’s top and bottom validate the structure. Price recently bounced off the lower trendline around 0.7940—a level that also overlaps with the lower edge of the Ichimoku cloud—underscoring its role as meaningful support. The Ichimoku cloud itself appears relatively flat, pointing to sideways consolidation, and candles dipping into the cloud reflect short‑term uncertainty. The RSI (14) is near 48–50, indicating neutral momentum with a slight bearish bend. With these observations, USD/CHF might either resume an upward move from this support zone and stay inside the channel, or lose the cloud floor support and break downward, shifting the trend lower.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

 

[Capitalcore]

BTC USD Trading Analysis Based on RSI and Bollinger Bands

BTC/USD, commonly known as "Bitcoin," is one of the most influential cryptocurrency pairs traded in forex markets, often referred to as "Digital Gold." Today, traders should closely monitor key economic data from the United States, including initial jobless claims, factory orders, and speeches from FOMC members Austan Goolsbee and Lorie Logan. Hawkish comments from these Federal Reserve representatives, signaling tighter monetary policies or fewer-than-expected jobless claims, would likely strengthen the USD, applying downward pressure on the BTC/USD pair. Conversely, weaker-than-forecasted economic indicators might prompt traders to seek refuge in Bitcoin, thus positively impacting BTC/USD prices.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Technically analyzing the BTC/USD H4 chart, after a sharp bullish trend, the candles have transitioned into a range-bound market and, having reached the upper Bollinger Band (150), we could anticipate a retracement toward the midline of the band. Currently, the RSI (14) indicator is hovering around the 72.32 level, suggesting an overbought scenario that aligns with a possible short-term decline. Similarly, the Williams %R indicator is at -12.14, further supporting the likelihood of downward price movement. Although a breakout from the range market is unlikely at this point, if bullish momentum resumes, the BTC/USD pair could aim for Fibonacci extension levels at either 0.236 or 0.382.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

 

[Capitalcore]

Nikkei 225 Technical Analysis Bullish Momentum Targets 46400

The Nikkei 225 Index, commonly referred to as JAP225, is a key indicator for the Japanese stock market, representing the largest 225 companies listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. Today's fundamental outlook for JAP225 is influenced by significant economic data releases from Japan. The release of Japan’s Jobless Rate could affect the index modestly since a lower-than-expected unemployment rate typically signals economic health, potentially boosting investor confidence and supporting JAP225 bullish momentum. Additionally, market participants will closely watch Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda’s speech in Osaka for hints about future monetary policy, with a more hawkish stance potentially strengthening JPY and impacting the index negatively due to currency appreciation.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the provided H4 chart for JAP225, the index is trading within an ascending channel, currently struggling near the channel’s midline. The 44-period EMA is positioned below the current price action, providing dynamic support and indicating bullish sentiment. MACD is signaling upward momentum with a bullish crossover recently formed, reinforcing potential bullish continuation. Additionally, the Parabolic SAR indicator displays recent points below the price, supporting a short-term bullish scenario. Based on these technical signals and price action, a likely target for JAP225 would be approximately 46400.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

 

[Capitalcore]

Eurozone Data Drives Today's GOLDEUR Fundamental Outlook

The GOLDEUR forex pair, known commonly as "Gold Euro," represents the value of gold priced in euros. As a significant indicator of both market risk appetite and currency strength, GOLDEUR attracts traders focusing on metals, forex, and commodities. Today's fundamental analysis is closely tied to several high-impact news events for the Euro. Investor sentiment from the Sentix survey will be key; a higher-than-forecasted figure could enhance Euro strength and thus pressure GOLDEUR downward. Retail sales data will also be closely watched, with better-than-expected figures providing bullish support to the Euro, potentially suppressing gold's value in euro terms. Additionally, ECB President Christine Lagarde's testimony could induce volatility, as traders seek clues regarding future ECB monetary policy and interest rate outlooks, potentially affecting short-term GOLDEUR price action.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Technical analysis of the GOLDEUR H4 chart indicates that the price is currently experiencing a sharp upward movement but is struggling at the upper boundary of its ascending channel, signaling resistance at current levels. Fibonacci extension levels at 1.0 and 1.68 are projected as the next potential targets if bullish momentum persists. The Linear Regression Curve confirms an established bullish trend, illustrating consistent upward momentum. The Parabolic SAR is positioned below the price candles, reaffirming the current bullish sentiment. Meanwhile, the MACD indicator suggests bullish strength, though the slight convergence hints at possible weakening momentum, warranting caution near resistance zones.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

 

[Capitalcore]

Fiber EURUSD Chart Indicators Signal Possible Downturn

EUR/USD, known as the "Fiber," is the most traded currency pair globally, representing the Euro against the U.S. Dollar. Today's fundamental analysis highlights several crucial events. Positive data from Germany, including Manufacturing Orders and Foreign Trade balance, could strengthen the Euro if figures surpass expectations, as rising industrial orders imply increased production and export activity. Additionally, Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel's commentary may influence EUR with potential hints on ECB monetary policy. Conversely, multiple U.S. Fed speakers, including Jeffrey Schmid, Raphael Bostic, Michelle Bowman, Stephen Miran, and Neel Kashkari, will deliver speeches that could shape market expectations on future monetary policy directions. Also significant is the U.S. Consumer Credit and Trade Balance report, as stronger-than-expected numbers typically boost the Dollar.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the EUR-USD H4 chart, the price action indicates weakening bullish momentum, clearly demonstrated by the descending black lines. The pair recently breached the upward channel and is currently testing the EMA (200), signaling potential bearish pressure ahead. The RSI supports this bearish outlook, trending downward and showing declining momentum without reaching oversold territory, which suggests further downside potential. The MACD confirms this with regular bearish divergence, displaying lower highs compared to the price's higher highs, signaling a weakening of the bullish trend. Traders should anticipate bearish price action in the short term, targeting key support levels.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

 

[Capitalcore]

USDJPY Technical Analysis Amidst Major Economic Announcements

USD/JPY, widely known as the "Gopher," is a prominent forex pair representing the strength of the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen. This pair is notably sensitive to monetary policies and economic indicators from the US Federal Reserve and Bank of Japan. Today's fundamentals highlight significant volatility potential, with speeches from influential FOMC members, including Michael Barr, Austan Goolsbee, Alberto Musalem, Lorie Logan, and Neel Kashkari, expected to provide clues on future US monetary policy. Additionally, BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda's remarks could trigger volatility due to implications on Japanese monetary strategies. Japanese economic indicators such as Labor Cash Earnings and Adjusted Current Account could further influence the pair’s movement, making today crucial for fundamental-driven trading strategies.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
From a technical perspective, the USD/JPY H4 chart illustrates a sustained gradual bullish trend with a recent sharp upward momentum. This bullish price action aligns with the earlier indicated positive hidden divergence, suggesting potential continuation towards the Fibonacci extension level of 0.618 (around 152.909). Conversely, any corrective moves might find strong support near the historically significant 0.382 Fibonacci retracement at approximately 150.561. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 76.98 indicates an overbought condition, urging caution for potential pullbacks. The William %R at -4.85 also emphasizes an overextended bullish state, highlighting possible short-term corrections. Meanwhile, the moving average line positioned below current candle formations reinforces ongoing bullish sentiment but suggests readiness for short-term reversals.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

 

[Capitalcore]

GBPUSD Ichimoku and Regression Channel Insights

The GBP/USD currency pair, commonly known as “Cable”, represents the exchange rate between the British Pound Sterling (GBP) and the US Dollar (USD). It is one of the most heavily traded forex pairs globally, reflecting the economic health, interest rate policies, and geopolitical dynamics between the United Kingdom and the United States. Today’s market sentiment around GBP USD is shaped by several key macroeconomic events. On the GBP side, traders are watching closely for remarks from Bank of England (BOE) MPC Member Megan Greene, who will discuss “Monetary Policy under Uncertainty.” A more hawkish tone could strengthen the Pound as investors price in potential future tightening. Additionally, the IMF meetings in Washington may spark volatility as policymakers address global economic concerns. Meanwhile, the USD is expected to see low liquidity due to Columbus Day bank closures, though remarks from Federal Reserve officials—including Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson— could still guide sentiment. With U.S. inflation concerns lingering and policy divergence between the BOE and Fed, GBP USD may experience choppy trading as investors react to policy cues and economic outlooks from both sides.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
On the 4-hour GBPUSD chart, the price is moving within a bearish descending regression channel, confirming a sustained downtrend. After the market opened, the pair faced a short-lived bullish correction, but the last candle has turned red following two strong green candles before the weekend close. The price is currently trading in the lower half of the channel, positioned between the Ichimoku Base Line and Conversion Line, while the Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo) remains red and trending downward, signaling persistent bearish momentum. The upper band of the regression channel has flattened, indicating potential consolidation before a new breakout. The %R (14) oscillator at -47.68 shows that the pair is currently in a neutral-to-slightly bearish zone, suggesting limited bullish strength unless a clear breakout above 1.34 occurs. Overall, GBP-USD remains under downside pressure, and traders should watch for reactions near the lower channel support for potential short-term rebounds or breakdown continuations.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

 

[Capitalcore]

AUD USD chart analysis with Ichimoku cloud

The Australian Dollar, often referred to as the “Aussie”, represents Australia’s currency and is one of the most actively traded pairs against the U.S. Dollar (USD) in the global forex market. The AUD-USD pair reflects the balance between Australia’s export-driven, commodity-linked economy and the U.S.’s global reserve currency. Today’s focus for the AUD USD pair centers around global and domestic monetary policy updates. On the Australian side, attention is on upcoming RBA meeting minutes and NAB Business Confidence data, both key indicators of business sentiment and future rate guidance. A stronger NAB print could support the Aussie, but with the IMF meetings in Washington DC also on the agenda, global risk sentiment and commodity performance may dominate short-term direction. Meanwhile, from the U.S., multiple Federal Reserve officials, including Chair Jerome Powell, are scheduled to speak, and any hawkish tone hinting at persistent inflationary pressure could strengthen the USD. As traders await these statements, market volatility is expected to rise, with the USD likely gaining near-term support on stronger policy rhetoric while the AUD remains under pressure due to slower domestic business growth and cautious RBA outlook.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
The AUD/USD 4-hour chart shows the price moving in a bearish trend with a 23° downward slope as indicated by the trend angle tool. The AUD-USD pair is trading between the 0.236 and 0.382 Fibonacci retracement levels, where 0.236 has acted as a key support zone. After testing this level, the Aussie price experienced a corrective bounce and is now moving toward the 0.382 Fibonacci resistance, remaining below the Ichimoku Cloud. The Ichimoku baseline and Leading Span B (red line) are positioned above Leading Span A (green line), forming a bearish Kumo (red cloud) with its upper boundary flattening, signaling potential consolidation before another drop. The candlestick is currently hovering near the conversion line, showing short-term indecision, while the %R (14) indicator stands at -53.82, suggesting a neutral-to-bearish momentum, indicating possible short-term correction before continuation of the downward trend. Overall, the bearish sentiment remains dominant unless the AUD USD price breaks decisively above the descending trendline and the Ichimoku cloud resistance area.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

 

[Capitalcore]

EUR USD Fundamental Outlook Fed Speeches and CPI Data

The EUR/USD, commonly known as the "Fiber," is the most actively traded currency pair globally, representing the economic relationship between the Eurozone and the United States. Today, the fundamental analysis points to a volatile session for the USD, driven by critical announcements such as the New York Manufacturing Index and speeches by key Federal Reserve members, including Governor Stephen Miran and Governor Christopher Waller. Hawkish rhetoric and optimistic manufacturing data would likely bolster the dollar, exerting bearish pressure on EUR/USD. Conversely, if the European CPI and Industrial Output figures surpass expectations, it could offer some bullish respite for the Euro.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
From a technical standpoint, after a period of sideways consolidation, the EUR/USD has resumed a bearish trajectory on the H4 chart, supported by strong momentum and confirmed by negative hidden divergence, indicating robust selling pressure. Candlesticks recently tested the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level at 1.16292 but failed to break decisively. This retracement remains a crucial resistance zone for any corrective rallies. If bearish momentum prevails, the pair could target the historical reaction level around 1.14178. The Moving Average is positioned below the candles but trending upward, suggesting potential short-term correction. MACD indicators display a slight bullish signal with the histogram at 0.00024, MACD line at -0.00327, and the signal line at -0.00351, while the Stochastic Oscillator (%K at 75.40 and %D at 74.85) is nearing overbought territory, hinting at limited upward movement potential.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

Capitalcore

 

[Capitalcore]

USD CAD Technical Outlook Amid Fed Speeches

The USD/CAD forex pair, commonly known as the "Loonie," represents the exchange rate between the United States dollar and the Canadian dollar. It is widely traded due to the significant economic ties between the US and Canada, especially concerning commodities like oil. Today, the market is closely monitoring multiple influential events from the US Federal Reserve, including remarks by Governors Christopher Waller, Michael Barr, Stephen Miran, and Michelle Bowman. Their discussions on monetary policy, economic stability, and stablecoins are anticipated to impact market sentiment and could support the USD if their tone is hawkish. Additionally, traders will closely observe data releases such as the Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Survey and US crude oil inventories. On the Canadian side, Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem’s insights on Canada’s economic outlook will significantly influence CAD volatility and directional bias, especially with focus on global trade dynamics.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
Analyzing the USD/CAD H4 chart reveals a long-term bullish trend with recent intermittent challenges around the Fibonacci retracement level of 0.382. Currently, a noticeable regular divergence suggests potential weakening bullish momentum, indicating a probable corrective phase toward the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level at 1.39914. Conversely, a bullish continuation towards the resistance level at 1.41016 remains plausible given ongoing positive sentiment. MACD shows minimal bullish momentum with a histogram at 0.00013, a MACD line at 0.00293, and the signal line at 0.00281, while the RSI at 56.57 indicates moderate bullish sentiment. Ichimoku analysis further supports a cautiously bullish bias, with Conversion Line at 1.40492 above the Base Line at 1.40266, Lagging Span positioned at 1.40408, and Leading Span A and B indicating strong support levels at 1.40379 and 1.40046 respectively.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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[Capitalcore]

GOLD ATH Price Action Targets $4400 Technical Analysis

All-Time High Price ActionThe XAU/USD pair, also known as Spot Gold or the "yellow metal" in forex trading, represents the price of one troy ounce of gold (XAU) quoted in US Dollars (USD), serving as the primary safe-haven asset against currency debasement and geopolitical uncertainty. Today's fundamental analysis for the GOLD/USD pair will be heavily influenced by a busy schedule of Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members' speeches, including Governor Stephen Miran, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, and St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem, with markets seeking any shift in the monetary policy outlook; any surprisingly hawkish comments—indicating a potential delay in interest rate cuts or a tightening of financial conditions—would likely boost the US Dollar strength, thereby exerting bearish pressure on the non-yielding gold price, while any dovish tones would reinforce the current bullish trend as a result of lower real rates. This focus on Federal Reserve sentiment highlights the extreme sensitivity of the GOLD/USD pair to changes in USD strength and rate hike expectations, which is critical for gold price prediction and daily chart technical analysis.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+03:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
The XAU/USD H4 chart technical analysis clearly confirms an exceptional and extended bullish trend, with the Spot Gold price maintaining its All-Time High (ATH) run well above the $4300 level. Price action is currently focused on the significant psychological and technical resistance at $4400, which coincides closely with the 1.0 Fibonacci Extension level (near $4303.70), suggesting this zone is a potential profit-taking or resistance test area if the momentum persists. The Ichimoku Kinko Hyo indicator provides powerful trend confirmation, showing candles trading decisively above the Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo), the Conversion Line (Tenkan-sen), and the Base Line (Kijun-sen), with the future cloud remaining bright green—all signs of a strong, entrenched uptrend. The Williams %R oscillator, reading -4.89, indicates the price is deep in overbought territory (near the 0 line), signaling that the market is stretched and a short-term price action pullback or consolidation is highly probable, although strong parabolic trends can see this momentum indicator remain extreme for some time. Key support levels to watch for a corrective move include the 0.618 Fib at $4228.10 and the psychological $4200 support. The overall XAU/USD forecast remains strongly bullish, but the overextended nature of the rally carries high volatility and increased risk of a sharp correction.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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[Capitalcore]

Dow Jones trading strategy based on price action

The US30, commonly known as the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) or simply the Dow, represents the performance of 30 major U.S. blue-chip companies and is a leading barometer of the American economy. In the forex and index markets, the Dow is widely tracked for its correlation with USD strength and overall investor sentiment. Today’s focus lies on a series of crucial U.S. economic reports — including the S&P Case-Shiller House Price Index, FHFA House Price Index, Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, and Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index. These data points are pivotal as they provide insight into U.S. housing market trends, manufacturing strength, and consumer optimism. Rising home prices and stronger confidence could reinforce expectations of sustained economic resilience, supporting the Dollar and boosting equity market optimism. Conversely, weaker data could pressure risk appetite, prompting short-term corrections in the Dow’s bullish structure. Overall, today’s U.S. data releases are likely to influence short-term market direction and volatility in the US30 daily and H4 technical and fundamental analysis.

Chart Notes:
• Chart time-zone is UTC (+02:00)
• Candles’ time-frame is 4h.
The US30 H4 chart shows that the price is moving in a bullish trend within a clearly defined ascending channel, supported by consistent higher highs and higher lows. The index is trading above the Ichimoku green upward-moving cloud, confirming strong upward momentum and a positive market bias. The price currently remains above both the baseline (Kijun-sen) and conversion line (Tenkan-sen), which are aligned and signaling ongoing buying pressure. The lagging span has recently turned horizontal, suggesting early signs of momentum consolidation while maintaining a bullish structure. Additionally, the %R14 indicator at -4.76 reflects an overbought condition, indicating that while the trend remains upward, a short-term pullback or consolidation may occur before the next continuation move. Overall, price action supports a bullish outlook for the US30 H4 chart, with potential resistance near the upper boundary of the channel and dynamic support along the midline of the trend.

•DISCLAIMER: Please note that the above analysis is not an investment suggestion by “Capitalcore LLC”. This post has been published only for educational purposes.

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