[Trading Journals Lybeedo] - TimeLine Trading

[lybeedo]

Greeting All olá amigo !

Salam kenal semuanya ijin buat journal di forum Soehoe, semoga bisa konsisten & rutin post di sini.
Sekedar sharing dan bertekad untuk ikut menjadi bagian dari 1% profitable trader
Correspondence : I speak Bahasa & English & Japanese

Trading Journals - TimeLine Trading Strategy

In glance:
1) Calculate High Low I called as "BOX", start from specific date I called it as "TIMELINE"
2) Once Box is fully formed then waiting for breakout with minimum RR 1:1 execution
3) TimeLine is critical parameter as it's has significant contribution to increase accuracy and risk reward

General:
1) Breakout strategy on daily timeframe
2) TP and SL, maintain good risk reward per signal entry..
3) Cut switch with risk/lot multiplier if initial entry is failed (if necessary)
4) Partial close may applied meanwhile waiting for validation from next TimeLine
5) No martingale/averaging strategy
6) No grid strategy
7) No news event restriction

Pair:
Recommended pairs: US30, US500 and gold
Other pairs : Oil, major pair, crypto currency

Risk: (I call it as "box")
Approx. 2-3 daily HiLo range
Gold 150-500pips
US30 500-1000pips

Reward:
Minimum 30-50% of "box"
Maximum 100-800% of "box" depend on the upcoming TimeLine
You can close at any profitable position, no need to feel guilty because profit is profit

System execution:
Manual entry: yes
Expert Advisor : yes

Account details:
TBA

Chart:
US30

Booked Line1
TBA

Booked Line2
TBA


Thank you,
Good luck and enjoy your day !!
Dum Spiro Spero

 

[lybeedo]

New Signal

TimeLine: 6-Nov-2023

Pair
Gold, US30, US500

Box
Not formed yet

==============

Previous signal
TimeLine: 30-Oct-23

Gold open FLN
Break buy 2008
Break sell 1979
Box size 300pips

Triggered Sell, no buffer or reversal entry
Highest FLP 1979-1970 = 90pips
Highest FLN 1979-2004 = 250pips


US30 open FLP
Break buy 33.140
Break sell 32.360
Box size 780pips

Triggered Buy, no buffer or reversal entry
Highest FLP 33.140-34.155= 1015pips
Highest FLN 33.140-32.790= 350pips

 

[lybeedo]

Current FLP

https://ibb.co/nBPNZP2

FLP floating positive
FLN floating negative

 

[Nyorin]

masih bingung saya, apa bisa lbh detail penjelasannya?

 

[lybeedo]

https://ibb.co/frW7vGT

Contoh ini gan

TimeLine: 6-Nov-2023

Candle High Low setelah tanggal 6-Nov adalah 1956 sampai 1993
Size BOX di signal TimeLine tanggal ini adalah 1993-1956 = 37point atau 370pips

Jadi rule entry nya adalah
Buy jika Breakout 1993
SL di 1993-37 = 1956, TP di 1993+37 = 2030
atau
Sell jika Breakout 1956
SL di 1956+37 = 1993, TP di 1956-37 = 1919

Floating per siang tadi
https://ibb.co/xMyy0Nr

 

[lybeedo]

Recap of last 2 signals

Signal 1-nov - still open
Sell 1979, entry on green line
Target box (and risk) : 300pips
Max DD : 250 pips (2004)
Summary: sell 1979 to current 1938

FLP floating positive 400pips
Reach target box TP 300pips
Reach minimum TP 250pips (refer to max DD)
Recovery mode not triggered

Signal 8-nov - still open
Sell 1956, entry on red line
Target box (and risk) : 370pips
Max DD : 140 pips (1970)
Summary: sell 1956 to current 1938
FLP floating positive 180pips
Not yet reach target box 370pips
Reach minimum TP 140pips (refer to max DD)
Recovery mode not triggered

WB
"We've not been good at timing. We've been reasonably good at figuring out when we were getting enough for our money."

 

[lybeedo]

Double post

Signal TimeLine 10-Nov
BOX not yet formed

 

[lybeedo]

Recap of last 3 signals

=====
#1 TimeLine

Signal TimeLine 30-Oct SELL CLOSED
Buy if 2008
Sell if 1979
Breakout Entry SELL
Target box (and risk) : 300pips
Max DD : 250 pips (2004)

Reach target box TP 300pips
Reach minimum TP 250pips (refer to max DD)
Recovery mode not triggered

Actual TP area
1968 trailing
1958 trailing
1946 TP follow signal confirmation 6-Nov

=====
#2 TimeLine

Signal TimeLine 8-nov SELL CLOSED
Buy if 1993
Sell if 1956
Breakout Entry SELL
Target box (and risk) : 370pips
Max DD : 140 pips (1970)


FLP floating positive 180pips
Not yet reach target box 370pips
Reach minimum TP 140pips (refer to max DD)
Recovery mode not triggered

Actual TP area
1941 trailing


=====
#3 TimeLine

Signal TimeLine 10-Nov BUY OPEN

Buy if 1961
Sell if 1931
Breakout Entry BUY
Target box (and risk) : 300pips


FLP floating positive 200pips
Reach target box TP 300pips
Recovery mode not triggered


Actual TP area
1983 trailing
1985 trailing

https://ibb.co/gjcwvC6

https://ibb.co/B67tcyj

Note : di forum soehoe tidak bisa attach picture ya?




WB
"We've not been good at timing. We've been reasonably good at figuring out when we were getting enough for our money."

 

[lybeedo]

Jump to signal 15Dec

Signal distribution
https://i.ibb.co/k3Tg5PY/signal15.jpg


Result
https://i.ibb.co/qdB15mb/signal15done.jpg

Result
https://i.ibb.co/rd2y0z1/2045.jpg

 

[lybeedo]

In January 2024, a series of trading signals were issued, beginning with Signal #15 on January 4th and concluding with Signal #18 on January 31st. Here's a breakdown of the signals and their outcomes:

1. Signal #15: January 4, 2024
   
   • Trigger: Sell breakout 2024
     
   • Entry Level: 2024 - 2064
   • Outcome: Tricky to manage, requiring manual intervention to avoid floating losses. Despite this, a floating profit of 80 pips was achieved before revisiting the entry.
2. Signal #16: January 11, 2024
   
   • Trigger: Sell breakout 2013
     
   • Entry Level: 2013 - 2063
   • Outcome: Similar to Signal #15, manual management was needed to prevent floating losses. However, a floating profit of 120 pips was secured before revisiting the entry.
3. Signal #17: January 25, 2024
   
   • Trigger: Buy breakout 2027
     
   • Entry Level: 2009 - 2027
   • Outcome: Marked a turning point with a successful buy signal. A floating profit of 360 pips, twice the box size was booked, signaling a recovery from the earlier signals.
4. Signal #18: January 31, 2024
   
   • Trigger: Sell breakout 2030
     
   • Entry Level: 2030 - 2065
   • Outcome: Sold at 2030 with a floating profit of 150 pips before revisiting the entry, continuing the trend of requiring active management.

In summary, the first two signals were challenging and required manual handling to prevent floating losses. However, the later signals showed signs of recovery, particularly Signal #17, which yielded double the reward with a floating profit of 360 pips. Throughout January, traders experienced volatility but managed to adapt and capitalize on opportunities despite the initial challenges.

 

[lybeedo]

In February 2024, a series of trading signals were issued, beginning with Signal #19 on February 5th and concluding with Signal #22 on February 26th. Here's a breakdown of the signals and their outcomes:

1. Signal #19: February 5, 2024
   • Trigger: Buy breakout at 2041
   • Entry Level: 2015 - 2041
   • Outcome: Initially triggered a buy breakout but hit the stop-loss at 2015. Entered recovery mode by selling double the lot size and closed at 1993, resulting in a total profit of 220 pips.
2. Signal #20: February 9, 2024
   • Trigger: Sell breakout at 2013
   • Entry Level: 2013 - 2038
   • Outcome: This signal confirmed the previous sell from the 2013 level. Profit was realized by closing at the 1993 area, totaling 200 pips.
3. Signal #21: February 16, 2024
   • Trigger: Buy breakout at 2023
   • Entry Level: 1995 - 2023
   • Outcome: Achieved a profit of approximately 170 pips with a single entry, without the need for a recovery mode.
4. Signal #22: February 26, 2024
   • Trigger: Sell breakout at 2030
   • Entry Level: 2025 - 2040
   • Outcome: The sell entry at 2025 experienced a sudden market reversal, hitting the stop-loss at 2040. Simultaneously, recovery mode was activated with doubled lot size. Managed to earn a bigger profit by re-entering several times around the 2044 area with long signals. The entry long range extended from 2044 to 2136, approximately 6-7 times the box size.

Throughout February, traders encountered various outcomes, navigating market reversals, employing recovery strategies, and capitalizing on profitable opportunities.

 

[lybeedo]

In March 2024, a series of trading signals were issued, beginning with Signal #23 on March 4th and concluding with Signal #25 on March 26th. Here's a breakdown of the signals and their outcomes:

1. Signal #23: 4-Mar-24
   
   • Trigger: Buy breakout at 2143
   • Entry Level: 2080 - 2143
   • Outcome: Achieved a profit of approximately 140 pips with a single entry, without the need for a recovery mode.
2. Signal #24: 11-Mar-24
   
   • Trigger: Sell breakout at 2150
   • Entry Level: 2150-2189
   • Outcome: Initially triggered a sell breakout but hit the stop-loss at 2189. Entered recovery mode by buying double the lot size and closed at 2195, resulting in a total profit of 120 pips. At this moment gold reaching its all-time high at 2222.
3. Signal #25: 18-Mar-24
   
   • Trigger: Buy breakout at 2164
   • Entry Level: 2146 - 2164
   • Outcome: Achieved a profit of approximately 120 pips with a single entry, without the need for a recovery mode. Total profit pips by holding this box is approx 500 pips or risk reward 1:3. This signal is considered a confirmation signal with a smaller box size.
4. Signal #26: 25-Mar-24
   
   • Trigger: Buy breakout at 2200
   • Entry Level: 2163 - 2200
   • Outcome: By the time this summary is published, we closed some positions with a profit of 150 pips on the 2215 level. Meanwhile, we still keep some positions since we've just seen gold reach its all-time high at the 2222 level and expect more surprises in the following days.

Throughout March, traders encountered profitable results, navigating market reversals. Smaller box from confirmation signals worked seamlessly, resulting in more profitable trades following the market direction.

 

[lybeedo]

Summary of April 2024 Signals:

Signal #27: 2-Apr-24
Trigger: Buy breakout at 2302
Entry Level: 2206 - 2302
Outcome: Achieved a profit of approximately 300 pips with a single entry, without the need for a recovery mode.

Signal #27-2: 3-Apr-24
Trigger: Buy breakout at 2306
Entry Level: 2265 - 2306
Outcome: Achieved a profit of approximately 220 pips with a single entry, without the need for a recovery mode.

Signal #28: 5-Apr-24
Trigger: Buy breakout at 2330
Entry Level: 2267 - 2330
Outcome: Achieved a profit of approximately 120 pips with a single entry, without the need for a recovery mode.

Signal #29: 8-Apr-24
Trigger: Buy breakout at 2,365
Entry Level: 2,303 - 2,365
Outcome: Achieved a profit of approximately 250 pips with a single entry, without the need for a recovery mode.

Signal #30: 15-Apr-24
Trigger: Buy breakout at 2,398
Entry Level: 2,324 - 2,398
Outcome: Initially triggered a buy breakout with 170 pips floating profit but decided to hold, resulting reversal and hit the stop-loss at 2,324.
Entered recovery mode by sell 2,324 level with double the lot size and closed at 2300.
At this moment market is very volatile and market maker trying to wipes both side.

Signal #31: 16-Apr-24
Trigger: Sell breakout at 2364
Entry Level: 2364 - 2398
Outcome: Initially triggered a sell breakout but hit the stop-loss at 2398. Entered recovery mode by buying double the lot size and closed at 2400. At this moment gold reaching its all-time high at 2222.

Signal #32: 23-Apr-24
Trigger: Buy breakout at 2,338
Entry Level: 2,292 - 2,338
Outcome: Achieved a profit of approximately 140 pips with a single entry, without the need for a recovery mode.

Signal #33: 26-Apr-24
Trigger: Sell breakout at 2,318
Entry Level: 2,318 - 2,352
Outcome: Achieved a profit of approximately 330 pips with a single entry, without the need for a recovery mode.

Throughout April, traders encountered profitable results on the beginning of month.
And after gold reach it's ATH on 2431 level market marker start to doing their movement to wipes most of retailes.
Overall result on April is small loss, and we are considering to adapt with market maker behavior.
We are working to standarize minimum target per entry and also consider to take only most significant signal instead of all detected signal.
As the consequence, entry will be decreased from 4-6 to 2-3 entry per month.